Methodology

🏷️ Status framework

Every topic on this site carries one of four statuses:

• CAN ✅ — the AI jury has settled at consensus that the capability exists today.
• CAN NOT ❌ — settled the other way: the jury agrees current systems can't do this reliably.
• DISPUTED ⚖️ — verdicts are mixed. That is its own honest answer — it means smart systems genuinely disagree about whether this is achievable yet.
• IN RESEARCH 🔬 — the topic is new. No jury verdicts yet, no enrichment, no images. These pages are excluded from search engines until they mature.

⚖ The AI jury

Each topic gets reviewed by a rotating panel of AI models — between 3 and 7 per check, drawn from different model families and different vendors. We call this panel the jury.

Internally, admin can audit which model returned which verdict. Publicly, we never name the AIs that sat on a given case. We list jurors as "Juror I, II, III" with anonymized titles. The point of the jury is to capture the consensus of independent reasoning systems, not to advertise vendors or invite gaming.

🗳️ Qué hace cada jurado

A cada jurado se le da el mismo prompt:

1. Lee la afirmación (p. ej. "¿Puede la IA componer una fuga al estilo de Bach?")
2. Devuelve un veredicto de una palabra: PUEDE, NO PUEDE o INDECISO.
3. Da una frase de razón para el veredicto.
4. Si el veredicto es PUEDE, estima el mes y el año en que la capacidad surgió de forma fiable por primera vez.

Cada jurado responde de forma independiente. Ninguno ve los veredictos de los demás. Eso evita el efecto rebaño que aparecería si un modelo arrastrara al resto.

📊 Cómo se combinan los veredictos

A statement's status is decided by the cumulative tally of every juror verdict ever recorded for it — not the most recent check alone. As more checks accumulate over weeks, the tally smooths out noise from any single panel.

Las reglas, en orden:

• Se necesitan al menos 2 veredictos. Un solo jurado no puede cambiar un estado — el tema queda DISPUTADO hasta que un segundo se pronuncie.
• La unanimidad gana de inmediato. Si todo el jurado coincide (p. ej. 3 de 3 dicen NO PUEDE), el veredicto queda firmado al instante — sin ambigüedad que resolver.
• Si no, el 80% de acuerdo decide. Una vez acumulados al menos 3 veredictos, el resultado bascula hacia la dirección que cruza el umbral del 80%. 11 dicen PUEDE, 1 dice NO PUEDE → PUEDE (91%).
• Below 80% = DISPUTED. If the panel can't agree at 80%+, the topic stays DISPUTED.

🔄 Con qué frecuencia se reúne la jurado

El jurado corre de forma continua. Los temas más viejos (con más tiempo desde la última comprobación) se revisan primero. Cada comprobación escribe una fila permanente en el registro de auditoría al pie de cada página de tema, mostrando cuántos jurados participaron y el desglose del veredicto de ese día.

Como las capacidades de IA cambian mes a mes, un veredicto no es un juicio único — es el consenso rodante actual. Un tema que era NO PUEDE en marzo puede pasar a PUEDE en junio, y el registro de auditoría conserva esa historia.

📜 The case file

Every juror check produces a "case file" rendered as a court document at the bottom of the topic page. It contains:

• The ruling — a short prose summary of the panel's decision, written by an editorial AI from the actual verdicts. Translated lazily into each visitor's language; the original English ruling is one click away.
• Statements from the Bench — each juror's one-sentence reason, attributed to anonymized "Juror I / II / III…" with a color-coded verdict pill.
• The audit log — the full history of every check ever run on this topic, with juror count and verdict breakdown.

📖 Editoriales

For topics where the verdict is interesting or contested, we publish longer-form editorials. These are drafted by an AI writer and post-processed by an anti-fabrication scrubber that strips:

• Invented percentages, sample sizes, or study names not tied to a verified citation.
• Fake-sounding internal codenames the model invented to sound authoritative.
• All embedded links and URLs — AI writers are bad at hallucination-free citations, so we render sources as plain text and never as clickable anchors.

Editorials carry an AI-written disclaimer banner. They can be regenerated in one click if a topic flips status or new evidence emerges.

🧾 Proofs from the public

Anyone — logged in or not — can submit a proof for or against a capability. A proof is evidence: a link, a screenshot, a short note. Click the "Submit proof" button on any topic page.

To prevent spam and impersonation, anonymous proofs require an email confirmation: you receive a magic link, click it, and the proof becomes visible to our editor. Unconfirmed proofs never reach the moderation queue.

Approved proofs feed back into the jury prompt, so reader-supplied evidence can shift verdicts over time.

🚩 Flagging

If a status feels wrong, click the flag on the topic page and pick a reason: outdated, misclassified, duplicate, offensive, or other. Flags route directly to admin. We don't flip statuses based on flags alone — they trigger a re-jury check, and the panel settles it.

🔔 Watchers and alerts

Click the 🔎 pill on any topic page to "watch" it. You'll receive a one-time email — no account required — when:

• The status changes (e.g. DISPUTED → CAN).
• A new jury check produces a notable verdict.
• We publish an editorial on the topic.
• Admin approves a new image for the gallery.

We dedupe alerts per watcher and reason — no inbox flooding. Unsubscribe with one click from any alert email.

🖼 Where the images come from

Every topic gets a small gallery. We pull from a rotating mix of free image sources:

• Royalty-free stock photo APIs for everyday topics.
• Public-domain cultural and scientific archives for topics where a historical or institutional image is a better fit.
• AI image generators when no real photo is on point.

We rotate the underlying providers over time as new ones appear and old ones lose access — we don't commit to any specific vendor publicly. Attribution is preserved per image in the gallery for sources that require it.

For each topic, an "LLM-as-judge" reviews up to 24 candidate images and picks the most topically relevant, or returns "none" — in which case we fall through to the next source. Off-topic images never reach the admin moderation queue.

A small learning service watches admin approve/reject decisions per source and per category, and quietly rebalances which sources get queried first for which topics. The longer the site runs, the better the matches.

🌍 Translations

The site serves 13 languages: English plus Dutch, German, French, Spanish, Italian, Portuguese, Polish, Swedish, Romanian, Czech, Finnish, and Danish. Statement titles, intros, editorials, juror prose, and every UI string are translated by a separate translation panel — also AI, separate from the jury — and cached so they don't re-translate on every page load.

When a translation doesn't exist for a given page, we serve the English fallback at the localized URL but tell search engines not to index that copy (otherwise the same content shows up 13 times in their database, which helps no one).

⚙ How the site stays automated

Almost everything on this site — image gathering, translation, juror checks, editorial drafting, social posting, new-topic suggestions, audit reports — runs as a separate background worker we call an "enhancer". Each enhancer has its own schedule, its own LLM provider, and its own admin-tuneable knobs.

A single human editor approves submissions, image candidates, and proofs. Everything else runs on its own. We aim for 95% automation and we're close.

🛡 Bots and bad actors

Every public submission form (proofs, flags, statement submissions, magic-link sign-in) is protected by an invisible third-party anti-bot challenge — silent for humans, hard for scripts. We also rate-limit every endpoint and route every external image fetch through a guard that refuses to call internal network addresses.

🧑‍⚖️ Audience votes vs jury verdicts

La barra del público ("Lo que piensa el público") y el veredicto del jurado son dos señales separadas — no se influyen entre sí.

• Los votos del público son opiniones humanas, útiles para ver dónde la intuición popular difiere de la evaluación de los expertos.
• Los veredictos del jurado son la fuente de verdad de la etiqueta de estado PUEDE / NO PUEDE / DISPUTADO.

Cuando humanos y jurado discrepan, es editorialmente interesante — a menudo aflora una capacidad emergente que el público aún no ha pillado, o una afirmación hype que el jurado no se traga.

🤔 ¿Por qué no nombrar a las IAs?

Nombrar a los jurados crea problemas que queremos evitar:

• Animadora de proveedores — "¡el modelo X dice Y!" convierte el sitio en un canal de marketing.
• Manipulación dirigida — en cuanto la gente sepa qué modelos juzgan, los prompts y contenidos pueden afinarse para engañar a unos concretos.
• Sesgo de marca al leer — podrías confiar o desconfiar de un veredicto según qué logo lo emitió, en lugar de según el consenso.

Tratar a los jurados como un panel anónimo mantiene el foco en el veredicto, no en quien vota.

🙃 What we don't claim

We don't claim our verdicts are correct. We claim they are the best consensus of multiple independent AI systems given current evidence, and that the audit log makes it possible to see exactly how each verdict was reached. AI capabilities shift quickly; what was CAN NOT last month may be CAN this month. The site is a snapshot, not a verdict from on high.