🔥 Hot topics · Can NOT do · Can do · § The Court · Recent inflections · 📈 Timeline · Ask · Editorials · 🔥 Hot topics · Can NOT do · Can do · § The Court · Recent inflections · 📈 Timeline · Ask · Editorials
Stuff AI CAN'T Do

Can AI pass the usmle medical licensing exam ?

What do you think?

The USMLE is the three-step examination required for medical licensure in the United States. Performance on this exam tests foundational and clinical medical knowledge, as well as reasoning under exam conditions. Here’s the current state of play.

Background

AI systems have made significant progress in processing and generating human-like language. Passing the USMLE medical licensing exam is a complex task that requires a deep understanding of medical concepts, clinical knowledge, and critical thinking skills. Currently, AI models can assist with certain aspects of medical education, such as providing study materials, practicing questions, and offering feedback, but they are not yet capable of replacing human judgment and expertise in a high-stakes exam like the USMLE. While AI can process vast amounts of medical information, its ability to apply this knowledge in a practical, real-world setting, such as a licensing exam, is still limited. The development of AI systems that can pass the USMLE exam would require significant advancements in areas like natural language understanding, common sense, and decision-making under uncertainty. GPT-4 scored above passing on all three steps of the United States Medical Licensing Exam. Med-schools now teach 'how to use AI' as a clinical skill.

Status last checked on June 27, 2026.

📰

Gallery

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · Jun 27, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI pass the usmle medical licensing exam?

★ The Court Finds ★
▲ Upgraded from Almost
Yes

The jury found a clear answer in the affirmative.

Ruling of the Bench

After thorough deliberation, the jury found the AI capable of passing the United States Medical Licensing Examination, citing multiple instances where models demonstrated high accuracy across all three steps. No dissent lingered in the jury room—the evidence presented left little room for debate. Verdict entered: the stethoscope has gone digital. The gavel falls with this ruling: "A licensed physician it now sits—though still in need of an intern.

— Hon. E. Dijkstra-Patel, Presiding
Jury Tally
2Yes
0Almost
0No
Verdict Confidence
98%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 In_research
Session III · May 2026 Almost · 82%
Session IV · May 2026 Almost · 78%
Session V · May 2026 Almost · 83%
Session VI · May 2026 Almost · 80%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Almost · 79%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Almost · 82%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Yes · 95%
Session X · Jun 2026 Almost · 89%
Case № 2418 · Session XI
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 2418 · Session XI · Vol. XI
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI pass the usmle medical licensing exam?
SessionXI (11 hearing)
Convened27 Jun 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → IN_RESEARCH (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. E. Dijkstra-Patel
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 11 sessions, 35 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 16 YES · 15 ALMOST · 4 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 2 — 0 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of YES, with verdict confidence of 98%. The court so orders. Verdict upgraded from prior session.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I YES

"AI systems like Med-PaLM 2 and others have demonstrated passing USMLE with high accuracy"

Juror II YES

"Multiple AI systems, including collaborative models and specific LLMs like ChatGPT and Grok, have demonstrated the ability to pass all three steps of the USMLE with high accuracy."

E. Dijkstra-Patel
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

What the audience thinks

No 18% · Yes 82% · Maybe 0% 110 votes
No · 18%
Yes · 82%
Trend needs votes from at least 2 different days.

Discussion

no comments

Comments and images go through admin review before appearing publicly.

11 jury checks · most recent 1 day ago
27 Jun 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
22 Jun 2026 4 jurors · undecided, can, can, undecided undecided
16 Jun 2026 1 juror · can can
11 Jun 2026 4 jurors · undecided, can, can, undecided undecided
05 Jun 2026 4 jurors · undecided, can, undecided, undecided undecided
31 May 2026 2 jurors · can, undecided undecided
26 May 2026 4 jurors · can, can, undecided, undecided undecided
20 May 2026 3 jurors · can, undecided, undecided undecided
15 May 2026 5 jurors · undecided, can, can, undecided, undecided undecided
12 May 2026 4 jurors · cannot, can, can, cannot undecided status changed
11 May 2026 2 jurors · cannot, cannot cannot status changed

Each row is a separate jury check. Jurors are AI models (identities kept neutral on purpose). Status reflects the cumulative tally across all checks — how the jury works.

More in Judgment

Got one we missed?

Add a statement to the atlas. We review weekly.