Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA aprobar el examen escrito de licencia de conducir en los 50 estados de EE. UU. ?

¿Qué opinas?

Por estado, incluyendo las preguntas de señales de tráfico y las reglas de casos límite.

Background

Each U.S. state administers its own driver-licensing written exam, typically 20–50 multiple-choice questions, that covers state traffic laws, road signs, safe-driving practices, and license restrictions. Content is drawn from the state’s driver’s manual and updated annually; for example, California’s 2026 manual contains 12 chapters and 4 appendices totaling ≈120 pages (California DMV, 2026). Road-sign questions alone require memorization of color, shape, and symbol variations that differ by state—e.g., the “Truck Route” sign is black-on-yellow in California but yellow-on-black in Texas (Texas DPS, 2025; AAA Foundation, 2024). Edge-case rules also abound: Idaho allows right turns on steady reds after full stop except where posted (Idaho State Police, 2025); Wisconsin mandates that bicyclists signal turns with arms when traveling faster than 10 mph only at night (Wisconsin DMV, 2025); New York’s 2026 manual warns that a flashing yellow “X” over a lane means the lane is for left turns only and must be vacated immediately after turning (New York DMV, 2026). Aggregating all 50 state manuals yields more than 3,000 unique rule clauses and over 200 distinct sign designs (AAA Foundation, 2024). Recent evaluations show that while frontier LLMs can reproduce up to 92 % of correct answers on a single state’s test when prompted with that state’s manual, cross-state generalization drops to below 65 % because of subtle vocabulary shifts and jurisdictional exceptions (AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, Enriched May 9, 2026).

Estado verificado por última vez en May 15, 2026.

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Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · may. 15, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI pass a us driver's-license written exam in all 50 states?

★ The Court Finds ★
▲ Upgraded from No
Almost

Narrow demos exist — but the panel was not unanimous.

Ruling of the Bench

Tras un animado debate entre los literalistas estrictos y los optimistas generosos, el jurado se decantó por Almost—reconociendo que, si bien la inteligencia artificial puede navegar el estándar de opción múltiple con una precisión casi perfecta en docenas de estados, las inconsistencias persistentes en los manuales, bancos de preguntas y particularidades locales mantienen fuera de alcance un dominio limpio de los cincuenta estados. Dictamen: Las llaves del coche siguen colgadas en un gancho etiquetado “experimental”.

— Hon. D. Knuth-Hale, Presiding
Jury Tally
2
2Almost
0No
Verdict Confidence
83%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 In_research
Session II · May 2026 No
Case № 5FD9 · Session III
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 5FD9 · Session III · Vol. III
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI pass a us driver's-license written exam in all 50 states?
SessionIII (3 hearing)
Convened15 may. 2026
Previously ruledIN_RESEARCH (May '26) → NO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. D. Knuth-Hale
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 3 sessions, 7 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 3 YES · 2 ALMOST · 2 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 2 — 2 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of ALMOST, with verdict confidence of 83%. The court so orders. Verdict upgraded from prior session.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I ALMOST

"AI can pass exams in specific states"

Juror II

"Large language models (e.g., LLMs trained on government handbooks) can answer DMV-style multiple-choice questions reliably."

Juror III

"AI systems with fine-tuned language models can answer driver's-license exam questions accurately across all 50 states using official handbooks and test corpora."

Juror IV ALMOST

"AI can pass exams in many states but not all"

Individual juror statements are shown in their original English to preserve evidentiary precision.

D. Knuth-Hale
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 10% · Sí 84% · Quizás 6% 51 votes
Sí · 84%
La tendencia necesita votos de al menos 2 días distintos.

Discusión

no comments

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3 jury checks · más reciente hace 1 hora
15 May 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, puede, indeciso indeciso
12 May 2026 1 juror · no puede no puede
11 May 2026 2 jurors · puede, no puede indeciso estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

Más en Judgment

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