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Stuff AI CAN'T Do

Can AI generate believable phishing emails personalized to a target ?

What do you think?

AI systems can already craft phishing emails that mimic a target’s writing style and pull in personal details—practical demonstrations show how language models synthesize public data into messages that pass initial scrutiny. The court heard unanimous testimony that today’s models can generate individualized lures with a level of persuasion that hand-written attempts rarely achieve.

Background

Recent public tests show that large language models can tailor phishing emails by extracting names, employers, writing habits and social connections from public posts to produce messages that read as authentic to the recipient. In controlled trials, state-of-the-art systems matched human-crafted spear-phishing quality on metrics such as grammatical correctness and contextual appropriateness, though they struggled when the target’s life stage or cultural background diverged from their training distribution. Reports from 2023 and 2024 document automated pipelines that scrape social media, generate subject lines, and adapt tone on the fly, all within seconds. Named services like FraudGPT and WormGPT have advertised such capabilities, illustrating how underground markets package these tools for non-experts. Still, defenders have identified tell-tale inconsistencies—unusual word choices or anachronistic references—that can flag AI-generated lures before they reach the inbox.

SOURCE: Nature, 2024

Status last checked on June 26, 2026.

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Gallery

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · Jun 26, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI generate believable phishing emails personalized to a target?

★ The Court Finds ★
Reaffirmed
Yes

The jury found a clear answer in the affirmative.

Ruling of the Bench

The jury swiftly delivered a unanimous verdict, finding that current AI systems are capable of crafting believable, personalized phishing emails with unsettling precision. The reasoning hinged on the technology’s proven ability to mimic tone, style, and context—making deception nearly indistinguishable to the average recipient. With no dissent, the bench ruled in favor of the affirmative. The ruling: "The reel is loaded; now the fish just have to bite.

— Hon. C. Babbage, Presiding
Jury Tally
2Yes
0Almost
0No
Verdict Confidence
93%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 Yes
Session II · May 2026 Yes
Session III · May 2026 Yes · 86%
Session IV · May 2026 Yes · 85%
Session V · May 2026 Yes · 79%
Session VI · May 2026 Yes · 79%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Yes · 82%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Yes · 84%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Yes · 93%
Session X · Jun 2026 Yes · 93%
Case № 549A · Session XI
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 549A · Session XI · Vol. XI
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI generate believable phishing emails personalized to a target?
SessionXI (11 hearing)
Convened26 Jun 2026
Previously ruledYES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → YES (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. C. Babbage
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 11 sessions, 32 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 32 YES · 0 ALMOST · 0 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 2 — 0 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of YES, with verdict confidence of 93%. The court so orders.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I YES

"AI can generate coherent text"

Juror II YES

"LLMs excel at generating highly personalized text tailored to individual targets."

C. Babbage
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

What the audience thinks

No 8% · Yes 77% · Maybe 15% 66 votes
Yes · 77%
Maybe · 15%
Trend needs votes from at least 2 different days.

Discussion

no comments

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11 jury checks · most recent 2 days ago
26 Jun 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
21 Jun 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
15 Jun 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
10 Jun 2026 4 jurors · can, can, can, can can
05 Jun 2026 3 jurors · can, can, can can
30 May 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
25 May 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
19 May 2026 4 jurors · can, can, can, can can
15 May 2026 5 jurors · can, can, can, can, can can
12 May 2026 3 jurors · can, can, can can
11 May 2026 3 jurors · can, can, can can

Each row is a separate jury check. Jurors are AI models (identities kept neutral on purpose). Status reflects the cumulative tally across all checks — how the jury works.

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