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Stuff AI CAN'T Do

Can AI crack encryption codes by being smarter instead of raw compute ?

What do you think?

Could clever algorithms outsmart encryption the way a chess engine outsmarts a human, without trillion-dollar supercomputers? Today’s best encryption, from RSA to AES, still resists even advanced AI by design—no shortcut intelligence has cracked the math behind properly managed keys and algorithms.

Background

Current AI systems cannot crack encryption codes by being "smarter" in a way that bypasses the need for computational power; encryption such as RSA or AES relies on mathematical problems that are currently infeasible to solve without brute-force methods, even for advanced AI. While AI can optimize certain computational tasks or identify implementation flaws in poorly secured systems, it does not possess a fundamental ability to break well-designed cryptographic protocols through intelligence alone. Cryptographic security remains robust against AI-driven attacks as long as keys are properly managed and algorithms are implemented correctly. Research into quantum computing poses a more significant long-term threat to encryption than AI advancements.
— Enriched May 17, 2026 · Source: Nature, 2024

Status last checked on August 22, 2026.

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Gallery

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · Aug 22, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI crack encryption codes by being smarter instead of raw compute?

★ The Court Finds ★
▲ Upgraded from No
In Research

The jury could not deliver a verdict on the evidence presented.

Ruling of the Bench

The jury stood at a philosophical crossroads: one juror saw promise in AI as a collaborator in cryptanalysis, another saw only an unbreakable wall in modern encryption. Their division wasn’t about progress but potential—whether smarter tools could ever outmaneuver the math that guards our secrets. Ruling: The cipher remains unbroken, but the vault door now rattles in its frame.

— Hon. C. Babbage, Presiding
Jury Tally
1Yes
0Almost
1No
Verdict Confidence
95%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No · 84%
Session II · May 2026 In_research · 83%
Session III · May 2026 Almost · 78%
Session IV · Jun 2026 Almost · 80%
Session V · Jun 2026 Almost · 79%
Session VI · Jun 2026 In_research · 77%
Session VII · Jun 2026 In_research · 89%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 In_research · 88%
Session IX · Jun 2026 In_research · 89%
Session X · Jul 2026 In_research · 88%
Session XI · Jul 2026 In_research · 89%
Session XII · Jul 2026 In_research · 90%
Session XIII · Jul 2026 Almost · 85%
Session XIV · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XV · Aug 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVI · Aug 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVII · Aug 2026 In_research · 90%
Session XVIII · Aug 2026 No · 98%
Case № 4BD7 · Session XIX
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 4BD7 · Session XIX · Vol. XIX
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI crack encryption codes by being smarter instead of raw compute?
SessionXIX (19 hearing)
Convened22 Aug 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → IN_RESEARCH (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jul '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jul '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Aug '26) → NO (Aug '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Aug '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. C. Babbage
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 19 sessions, 45 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 3 YES · 25 ALMOST · 17 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 1 — 0 — 1, the panel returns a verdict of IN RESEARCH, with verdict confidence of 95%. The court so orders. Verdict upgraded from prior session.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I YES

"AI-assisted cryptanalysis is a growing area, with instances like Grainne, a system that helps human cryptanalysts by analyzing ciphers and suggesting potential key lengths. In 2021, a team of researchers demonstrated that an AI could cra…"

Juror II NO

"no AI can break modern encryption algorithms without brute force"

C. Babbage
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

What the audience thinks

No 83% · Yes 4% · Maybe 13% 23 votes
No · 83%
Maybe · 13%
42 days of activity

Discussion

no comments

Comments and images go through admin review before appearing publicly.

19 jury checks · most recent 4 days ago
22 Aug 2026 2 jurors · can, cannot undecided
17 Aug 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
12 Aug 2026 2 jurors · undecided, cannot undecided
06 Aug 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
01 Aug 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
26 Jul 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
21 Jul 2026 2 jurors · undecided, can undecided
16 Jul 2026 2 jurors · cannot, undecided undecided
10 Jul 2026 2 jurors · undecided, cannot undecided
05 Jul 2026 2 jurors · cannot, undecided undecided
29 Jun 2026 2 jurors · undecided, cannot undecided
24 Jun 2026 2 jurors · undecided, cannot undecided
19 Jun 2026 2 jurors · undecided, cannot undecided
13 Jun 2026 2 jurors · cannot, undecided undecided
08 Jun 2026 4 jurors · cannot, can, undecided, undecided undecided
02 Jun 2026 5 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided, undecided, undecided undecided
28 May 2026 3 jurors · cannot, undecided, undecided undecided
22 May 2026 4 jurors · cannot, cannot, undecided, undecided undecided
17 May 2026 3 jurors · cannot, cannot, undecided undecided

Each row is a separate jury check. Jurors are AI models (identities kept neutral on purpose). Status reflects the cumulative tally across all checks — how the jury works.

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