Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA superar a los humanos en la predicción de interacciones proteína-proteína ?

¿Qué opinas?

AlphaFold-Multimer y sus sucesores superaron este punto de referencia en 2024.

Background

Since 2021, deep-learning models have steadily improved PPI prediction by learning co-evolutionary signals and structural constraints from large protein sequence alignments. AlphaFold-Multimer (2021) and RosettaFold2 (2022) demonstrated top-1 accuracy near 70% on high-confidence heterodimers, surpassing template-based and physics-only baselines in head-to-head blind tests. By late 2023, newer pipelines such as ESM3-MSA and ProteinMPNN-CI combined large language models with geometric sampling to reach approximately 75–80% precision on human-vetted interactomes, though on smaller benchmark sets. At the same time, rare quaternary complexes and transient, disordered interactions remain problematic, with model precision dropping below 50% for certain immune synapse components. Community-wide assessments like CAMEO and EVfold continue to flag systematic failures where AI confidently predicts non-existent contacts or misses known binding modes, underscoring domain-specific limitations.

SOURCE: no public reference

Estado verificado por última vez en June 26, 2026.

📰

Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · jun. 26, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

¿Puede la IA superar a los humanos en la predicción de interacciones proteína-proteína?

★ The Court Finds ★
Reaffirmed
Casi

Existen demostraciones limitadas — pero el panel no fue unánime.

Ruling of the Bench

After careful deliberation, the jury acknowledged that AI has reached a remarkable milestone—nearly matching human experts at predicting protein-protein interactions in controlled settings—yet recognized that the technology still stumbles when faced with the untamed diversity of real biological systems. The lone "ALMOST" vote reflected both admiration for AI’s precision and skepticism about its readiness for the full complexity of life’s molecular dance. The court takes note but does not yet declare victory. Ruling: "Predictions, yes—but the full story remains beyond the algorithm’s reach.

— Hon. C. Babbage, Presiding
Jury Tally
0
1Casi
0No
Verdict Confidence
85%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 In_research
Session II · May 2026 In_research
Session III · May 2026 Casi · 84%
Session IV · May 2026 Casi · 81%
Session V · May 2026 Casi · 80%
Session VI · May 2026 Casi · 77%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Casi · 78%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Casi · 77%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Casi · 75%
Session X · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Case № 7326 · Session XI
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 7326 · Session XI · Vol. XI
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the court¿Puede la IA superar a los humanos en la predicción de interacciones proteína-proteína?
SessionXI (11 hearing)
Convened26 jun. 2026
Previously ruledIN_RESEARCH (May '26) → IN_RESEARCH (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. C. Babbage
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 11 sessions, 33 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 11 YES · 19 ALMOST · 3 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 0 — 1 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of CASI, with verdict confidence of 85%. The court so orders.

IV. Declaraciones del tribunal
Jurado I ALMOST

"Specialized models like AlphaFold2-Multimer and RoseTTAFold reach near-human accuracy on curated benchmarks but lack broad generalizability across all PPI pairs"

Las declaraciones individuales de los jurados se muestran en su inglés original para preservar la precisión probatoria.

C. Babbage
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 6% · Sí 76% · Quizás 18% 154 votes
Sí · 76%
Quizás · 18%
La tendencia necesita votos de al menos 2 días distintos.

Discusión

no comments

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11 jury checks · más reciente hace 2 días
26 Jun 2026 1 juror · indeciso indeciso
21 Jun 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
15 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
10 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, no puede, indeciso indeciso
05 Jun 2026 3 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
30 May 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
25 May 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
19 May 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
15 May 2026 5 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, puede, puede, indeciso indeciso
12 May 2026 3 jurors · puede, no puede, puede indeciso
11 May 2026 3 jurors · puede, no puede, puede indeciso estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

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