Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo ?

¿Qué opinas?

Esteva et al. mostraron en *Nature* que una CNN podía clasificar imágenes de dermatología al nivel de dermatólogos certificados por la junta.

Background

In 2017, Esteva et al. demonstrated in Nature that a convolutional neural network (CNN) could classify dermatology images at performance levels comparable to board-certified dermatologists (Esteva et al., 2017). Current AI systems analyze images of skin lesions and report high sensitivity and specificity in detecting skin cancer, yet their performance is typically validated on controlled datasets and may not generalize to routine clinical environments (National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering, 2026). Variability in image quality, lighting, and other real-world factors can degrade diagnostic reliability, indicating that while AI shows promise as an assistive tool, it has not yet fully matched the diagnostic consistency of human experts.

Estado verificado por última vez en June 27, 2026.

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Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · jun. 27, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo?

★ The Court Finds ★
▲ Upgraded from Casi

El jurado encontró una respuesta claramente afirmativa.

Ruling of the Bench

After careful consideration, the jury found overwhelming evidence that today’s leading dermatologic AI systems can match human specialists in diagnosing skin cancer from images, with precision rates hovering just shy of or on par with board-certified dermatologists. The single abstention voiced concerns about rare edge cases and real-world deployment risks, but the lone dissenter ultimately conceded the core capability was proven. Verdict for the affirmative, unanimous in substance if not in tone. The scales of justice tilt toward the machine—for now.

— Hon. J. von Neumann III, Presiding
Jury Tally
1
0Casi
0No
Verdict Confidence
90%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 No
Session III · May 2026 Casi · 77%
Session IV · May 2026 Casi · 80%
Session V · May 2026 Casi · 81%
Session VI · May 2026 Casi · 75%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Casi · 77%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Casi · 80%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Session X · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Case № D331 · Session XI
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № D331 · Session XI · Vol. XI
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the court¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo?
SessionXI (11 hearing)
Convened27 jun. 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → NO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. J. von Neumann III
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 11 sessions, 28 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 7 YES · 16 ALMOST · 5 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 1 — 0 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of , with verdict confidence of 90%. The court so orders. Verdict upgraded from prior session.

IV. Declaraciones del tribunal
Jurado I

"Dermatology AI systems like Google's Med-PaLM 2 or Stanford's DermaAid demonstrate near-dermatologist accuracy."

Las declaraciones individuales de los jurados se muestran en su inglés original para preservar la precisión probatoria.

J. von Neumann III
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 3% · Sí 73% · Quizás 24% 91 votes
Sí · 73%
Quizás · 24%
15 days of activity

Discusión

1 comment

Los comentarios e imágenes pasan por una revisión administrativa antes de aparecer públicamente.

  • hace 1 mes wait they can do that now... seriously? nawa o. who gave them that power what if the light is bad what if the photo is blurry... my cousin had a spot that looked exactly like that and it was just a boil
11 jury checks · más reciente hace 1 día
27 Jun 2026 1 juror · puede puede
22 Jun 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
16 Jun 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
11 Jun 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
06 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
31 May 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
26 May 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
20 May 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
15 May 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso estado cambiado
12 May 2026 3 jurors · no puede, no puede, no puede no puede
11 May 2026 2 jurors · no puede, no puede no puede estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

Más en Judgment

¿Nos faltó uno?

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