Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala ?

¿Qué opinas?

Waymo abrió su servicio comercial completamente sin conductor al público en Phoenix en octubre de 2020 — la primera vez que el público podía viajar sin un conductor de seguridad.

Background

Waymo launched its fully driverless commercial taxi service in Phoenix, Arizona, in October 2020, becoming the first company to offer public rides without a human safety driver onboard. AI-driven autonomous systems have demonstrated capability in structured environments such as highways with clear lane markings and minimal disruption. However, suburban traffic introduces added complexity due to unpredictable elements like unmarked roads, varied signage, cyclists, pedestrians, school zones, and construction detours. Multiple companies—including Waymo, Cruise, Zoox, and others—have conducted trials and demonstrated autonomous navigation in suburban areas, but none have achieved routine, large-scale deployment. Current systems typically fuse inputs from cameras, lidar, radar, ultrasonic sensors, high-definition maps, and deep learning models to interpret surroundings and plan trajectories. Despite advances, edge cases—such as erratic behavior from other road users or rare environmental conditions—continue to produce failures in safety-critical scenarios. Regulatory uncertainty, public skepticism, and the need for robust fail-safe mechanisms remain significant barriers. Ongoing research focuses on improving sensor fusion, prediction accuracy, and scalability across diverse geographies and weather conditions. As of May 9, 2026, autonomous driving at scale is still an active area of development and testing, with no systemic solution yet proven under all real-world conditions.

Estado verificado por última vez en June 28, 2026.

📰

Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · jun. 28, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala?

★ The Court Finds ★
Reaffirmed
Casi

Existen demostraciones limitadas — pero el panel no fue unánime.

Ruling of the Bench

The jury strained to peer through the windshield of progress and found the road half-mapped: one juror saw fleets of robotaxis already logging real miles at scale, while another noted those same miles remain confined to neatly stenciled suburban corridors with steady oversight. Where the headlights once flickered, today they illuminate most nights—but not every exit ramp. Ruling: "We’ve logged the miles, but we haven’t yet driven every road.

— Hon. A. Turing-Brown, Presiding
Jury Tally
1
1Casi
0No
Verdict Confidence
90%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 No
Session III · May 2026 Casi · 84%
Session IV · May 2026 Casi · 84%
Session V · May 2026 Casi · 79%
Session VI · Jun 2026 Casi · 78%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Casi · 78%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Casi · 95%
Session X · Jun 2026 Casi · 85%
Case № 5A41 · Session XI
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 5A41 · Session XI · Vol. XI
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the court¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala?
SessionXI (11 hearing)
Convened28 jun. 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → NO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. A. Turing-Brown
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 11 sessions, 31 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 7 YES · 19 ALMOST · 5 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 1 — 1 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of CASI, with verdict confidence of 90%. The court so orders.

IV. Declaraciones del tribunal
Jurado I ALMOST

"Limited deployment exists in mapped suburban corridors but not general scale"

Jurado II

"Companies like Waymo and Cruise are operating fully autonomous ride-hailing services at scale in multiple US cities, including on highways and suburban roads."

Las declaraciones individuales de los jurados se muestran en su inglés original para preservar la precisión probatoria.

A. Turing-Brown
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 5% · Sí 79% · Quizás 16% 56 votes
Sí · 79%
Quizás · 16%
15 days of activity

Discusión

no comments

Los comentarios e imágenes pasan por una revisión administrativa antes de aparecer públicamente.

11 jury checks · más reciente hace 10 horas
28 Jun 2026 2 jurors · indeciso, puede indeciso
22 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
17 Jun 2026 1 juror · indeciso indeciso
12 Jun 2026 2 jurors · indeciso, indeciso indeciso
06 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
01 Jun 2026 3 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
26 May 2026 4 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
21 May 2026 5 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
16 May 2026 3 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso estado cambiado
13 May 2026 3 jurors · no puede, no puede, no puede no puede
11 May 2026 2 jurors · no puede, no puede no puede estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

Más en Physical

¿Nos faltó uno?

Revisamos semanalmente.