Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala ?

¿Qué opinas?

Waymo abrió su servicio comercial completamente sin conductor al público en Phoenix en octubre de 2020 — la primera vez que el público podía viajar sin un conductor de seguridad.

Background

Waymo launched its fully driverless commercial taxi service in Phoenix, Arizona, in October 2020, becoming the first company to offer public rides without a human safety driver onboard. AI-driven autonomous systems have demonstrated capability in structured environments such as highways with clear lane markings and minimal disruption. However, suburban traffic introduces added complexity due to unpredictable elements like unmarked roads, varied signage, cyclists, pedestrians, school zones, and construction detours. Multiple companies—including Waymo, Cruise, Zoox, and others—have conducted trials and demonstrated autonomous navigation in suburban areas, but none have achieved routine, large-scale deployment. Current systems typically fuse inputs from cameras, lidar, radar, ultrasonic sensors, high-definition maps, and deep learning models to interpret surroundings and plan trajectories. Despite advances, edge cases—such as erratic behavior from other road users or rare environmental conditions—continue to produce failures in safety-critical scenarios. Regulatory uncertainty, public skepticism, and the need for robust fail-safe mechanisms remain significant barriers. Ongoing research focuses on improving sensor fusion, prediction accuracy, and scalability across diverse geographies and weather conditions. As of May 9, 2026, autonomous driving at scale is still an active area of development and testing, with no systemic solution yet proven under all real-world conditions.

Estado verificado por última vez en July 3, 2026.

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Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · jul. 3, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala?

★ The Court Finds ★
Reaffirmed
Casi

Existen demostraciones limitadas — pero el panel no fue unánime.

Ruling of the Bench

After lively deliberation, the jury split between the thrill of the open road and the stillness of the parking brake, with one juror clinging to the promise of the road-tested present and another fretting over the uncharted detours ahead. The gap hinged on whether today’s triumphs in particular lanes outweigh tomorrow’s untamed miles. Ruling: The car may drive, but keep a hand on the wheel and an eye on the map.

— Hon. B. Liskov-Chen, Presiding
Jury Tally
1
1Casi
0No
Verdict Confidence
93%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 No
Session III · May 2026 Casi · 84%
Session IV · May 2026 Casi · 84%
Session V · May 2026 Casi · 79%
Session VI · Jun 2026 Casi · 78%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Casi · 78%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Casi · 95%
Session X · Jun 2026 Casi · 85%
Session XI · Jun 2026 Casi · 90%
Case № 5A41 · Session XII
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 5A41 · Session XII · Vol. XII
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the court¿Puede la IA conducir un automóvil de forma autónoma en tráfico de autopistas y suburbanos a escala?
SessionXII (12 hearing)
Convened3 jul. 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → NO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. B. Liskov-Chen
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 12 sessions, 33 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 8 YES · 20 ALMOST · 5 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 1 — 1 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of CASI, with verdict confidence of 93%. The court so orders.

IV. Declaraciones del tribunal
Jurado I ALMOST

"Limited to specific ODDs with strong geofencing and fails on edge cases"

Jurado II

"Companies like Waymo and Cruise have demonstrated scaled autonomous driving in highway and suburban traffic, with extensive real-world mileage and safety data."

Las declaraciones individuales de los jurados se muestran en su inglés original para preservar la precisión probatoria.

B. Liskov-Chen
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 5% · Sí 79% · Quizás 16% 56 votes
Sí · 79%
Quizás · 16%
15 days of activity

Discusión

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12 jury checks · más reciente hace 13 horas
03 Jul 2026 2 jurors · indeciso, puede indeciso
28 Jun 2026 2 jurors · indeciso, puede indeciso
22 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
17 Jun 2026 1 juror · indeciso indeciso
12 Jun 2026 2 jurors · indeciso, indeciso indeciso
06 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso indeciso
01 Jun 2026 3 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
26 May 2026 4 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
21 May 2026 5 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
16 May 2026 3 jurors · puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso estado cambiado
13 May 2026 3 jurors · no puede, no puede, no puede no puede
11 May 2026 2 jurors · no puede, no puede no puede estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

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