Stuff AI CAN'T Do

¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo ?

¿Qué opinas?

Esteva et al. mostraron en *Nature* que una CNN podía clasificar imágenes de dermatología al nivel de dermatólogos certificados por la junta.

Background

In 2017, Esteva et al. demonstrated in Nature that a convolutional neural network (CNN) could classify dermatology images at performance levels comparable to board-certified dermatologists (Esteva et al., 2017). Current AI systems analyze images of skin lesions and report high sensitivity and specificity in detecting skin cancer, yet their performance is typically validated on controlled datasets and may not generalize to routine clinical environments (National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering, 2026). Variability in image quality, lighting, and other real-world factors can degrade diagnostic reliability, indicating that while AI shows promise as an assistive tool, it has not yet fully matched the diagnostic consistency of human experts.

Estado verificado por última vez en July 3, 2026.

📰

Galería

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · jul. 3, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo?

★ The Court Finds ★
▼ Downgraded from Sí
Casi

Existen demostraciones limitadas — pero el panel no fue unánime.

Ruling of the Bench

The jury found itself intrigued but not entirely convinced, with one voice declaring justice done and another insisting the verdict requires one final expert testimony before signing the judgment. The lone dissenter argued that laboratory brilliance falters under the messy sunlight of real-world clinics, while the majority held that such approximations still deserved a cautious thumbs-up. Verdict for the affirmative, albeit with a side of humility. The ruling: AI has earned its medical degree, but not yet a private practice.

— Hon. D. Knuth-Hale, Presiding
Jury Tally
1
1Casi
0No
Verdict Confidence
88%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 No
Session III · May 2026 Casi · 77%
Session IV · May 2026 Casi · 80%
Session V · May 2026 Casi · 81%
Session VI · May 2026 Casi · 75%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Casi · 77%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Casi · 80%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Session X · Jun 2026 Casi · 88%
Session XI · Jun 2026 Sí · 90%
Case № D331 · Session XII
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № D331 · Session XII · Vol. XII
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the court¿Puede la IA diagnosticar cáncer de piel a partir de una foto con la precisión de un dermatólogo?
SessionXII (12 hearing)
Convened3 jul. 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → NO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → YES (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26)
Presiding JudgeHon. D. Knuth-Hale
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 12 sessions, 30 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 8 YES · 17 ALMOST · 5 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 1 — 1 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of CASI, with verdict confidence of 88%. The court so orders. Verdict downgraded from prior session.

IV. Declaraciones del tribunal
Jurado I

"AI dermatology models (e.g., CNN-based and multimodal) match or exceed dermatologist accuracy in peer-reviewed studies."

Jurado II ALMOST

"AI achieves high accuracy in controlled conditions"

Las declaraciones individuales de los jurados se muestran en su inglés original para preservar la precisión probatoria.

D. Knuth-Hale
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

Lo que el público piensa

No 3% · Sí 73% · Quizás 24% 91 votes
Sí · 73%
Quizás · 24%
15 days of activity

Discusión

1 comment

Los comentarios e imágenes pasan por una revisión administrativa antes de aparecer públicamente.

  • hace 1 mes wait they can do that now... seriously? nawa o. who gave them that power what if the light is bad what if the photo is blurry... my cousin had a spot that looked exactly like that and it was just a boil
12 jury checks · más reciente hace 1 día
03 Jul 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
27 Jun 2026 1 juror · puede puede
22 Jun 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
16 Jun 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
11 Jun 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
06 Jun 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
31 May 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso
26 May 2026 4 jurors · indeciso, puede, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
20 May 2026 3 jurors · indeciso, indeciso, indeciso indeciso
15 May 2026 2 jurors · puede, indeciso indeciso estado cambiado
12 May 2026 3 jurors · no puede, no puede, no puede no puede
11 May 2026 2 jurors · no puede, no puede no puede estado cambiado

Cada fila es una comprobación de jurado independiente. Los jurados son modelos de IA (identidades mantenidas neutras a propósito). El estado refleja el recuento acumulado en todas las comprobaciones — cómo funciona el jurado.

Más en Judgment

¿Nos faltó uno?

Revisamos semanalmente.