Timeline

Turning Points

A month-by-month chronology of capabilities AI can now do — capabilities that flipped from CAN NOT to CAN.

Year

Month

Showing

November 2022

3 flips

Dec 2015 red dots = months with flips Feb 2026

TURNING POINT · NOV 2022

👃 Sensory

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Can AI detect deepfakes in many common cases ?

Detectors and generators are in an arms race, but for most current deepfakes, off-the-shelf detectors flag them above chance — often well above. --- AI can de...

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224 votes · See results →

TURNING POINT · NOV 2022

🤝 Relational

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Can AI negotiate convincingly with humans in diplomacy ?

Meta's Cicero combined an LLM with strategic reasoning to play Diplomacy at human-expert level — including coalition building, lying, and persuasion via natural...

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280 votes · See results →

TURNING POINT · NOV 2022

🤝 Relational

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Can AI hold a multi-turn conversation that feels natural for ten minutes ?

ChatGPT's release in November 2022 was the moment the average user could talk to a machine and forget for stretches that they were doing so. --- Current AI sy...

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106 votes · See results →

Turning Points

Can AI detect deepfakes in many common cases ?

Can AI negotiate convincingly with humans in diplomacy ?

Can AI hold a multi-turn conversation that feels natural for ten minutes ?

Got one we missed?

Links & Legal

Turning Points

Can AI detect deepfakes in many common cases ?

Can AI negotiate convincingly with humans in diplomacy ?

Can AI hold a multi-turn conversation that feels natural for ten minutes ?

Got one we missed?

Links & Legal

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